Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000463 0.000517 0.000576 0.000647 0.000731 0.000826 0.000943
2025-01-12 0.000370 0.000440 0.000523 0.000634 0.000777 0.000960 0.001219
2025-01-19 0.000326 0.000405 0.000508 0.000653 0.000858 0.001149 0.001611
2025-01-26 0.000280 0.000359 0.000466 0.000626 0.000868 0.001236 0.001882
2025-02-02 0.000255 0.000336 0.000451 0.000630 0.000918 0.001393 0.002311
2025-02-09 0.000238 0.000323 0.000446 0.000647 0.000990 0.001598 0.002904
2025-02-16 0.000224 0.000310 0.000439 0.000660 0.001056 0.001811 0.003607
2025-02-23 0.000214 0.000303 0.000440 0.000683 0.001145 0.002092 0.004611
2025-03-02 0.000202 0.000291 0.000431 0.000690 0.001202 0.002323 0.005633
2025-03-09 0.000188 0.000275 0.000414 0.000678 0.001220 0.002473 0.006525
2025-03-16 0.000179 0.000264 0.000406 0.000680 0.001268 0.002708 0.007887
2025-03-23 0.000171 0.000256 0.000400 0.000686 0.001326 0.002992 0.009707
2025-03-30 0.000163 0.000249 0.000396 0.000697 0.001403 0.003378 0.012542
2025-04-06 0.000153 0.000235 0.000380 0.000684 0.001420 0.003601 0.014997
2025-04-13 0.000148 0.000232 0.000381 0.000706 0.001531 0.004192 0.020920
2025-04-20 0.000138 0.000217 0.000360 0.000676 0.001500 0.004272 0.023540
2025-04-27 0.000132 0.000210 0.000355 0.000681 0.001565 0.004755 0.031200
2025-05-04 0.000129 0.000207 0.000355 0.000699 0.001677 0.005511 0.045608
2025-05-11 0.000125 0.000204 0.000354 0.000714 0.001781 0.006326 0.067587
2025-05-18 0.000123 0.000202 0.000358 0.000740 0.001932 0.007529 0.113685
2025-05-25 0.000119 0.000197 0.000354 0.000747 0.002020 0.008496 0.177566
2025-06-01 0.000113 0.000190 0.000343 0.000734 0.002034 0.009030 0.244948
2025-06-08 0.000110 0.000185 0.000338 0.000736 0.002108 0.010067 0.408136